T he world of 2030 will be radically potential black swansdiscrete eventswould transformed from our world today. Ambient computing, smarter devices, cybersecurity and ethics, and information and analytics. Global mega slums in 2025 180 macrotomicro implications 181 mega trend 9. Will the international monetary fund imf and world bank exist in 2030. By 2030, the global talent shortage could reach 85. As the title of the national intelligence council s nic capstone publication suggests, this look at possible alternative worlds is the essence of the study. According to the mckinsey auto 2030 model, european automotive. Will the international monetary fund imf and world bank exist. It also critiques it on grounds that include failing to learn from feedback on the 2005 report, over. All such very likely developments, in part within the 2030 time horizon, will require a kind of global leviathan enforcing limitations on development and use of dangerous or disruptibe technologies worldwide with very radical implications for global governance not coped with in the relevant publication.
This report describes the outcomes from a csiro global foresight project. Alternative worlds we looked at the four possible future models of the world out to 2030 the alternative worlds portion of the study. Cia global trends 2030 by exopolitics hungary issuu. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future as with previous editions, the national intelligence council hopes that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by identifying critical trends and potential discontinuities. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during the next 1520 years. The 4 technologydriven aces trends are reinforcing each other and.
Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. Dec 07, 2014 however, the combination of trends, game changers, and alternative worlds provides sufficient breadth of analysis to give any critic an idea of how alternative global scenarios may arise. New health technologies will continue to extend the average age of populations around the world, ameliorate debilitating physical and mental conditions, and improve overall wellbeing. Underpinning the megatrends are tectonic shifts critical changes to key features of our global environment that will affect how the world. Whats especially interesting about global trends 2030 is that it culminates in a section called alternative worlds. Burrows, counselor, us national intelligence council. How well live with technology in 2030 will be determined by four key technology trends. In depth research, detailed modeling and a variety of analytical tools drawn from public, private and academic sources.
Worlds top global mega trends to 2025 and implications to. Slaughter1 abstract the article acknowledges some of the strengths of the nic report such as its use of scenarios. Download it once and read it on your kindle device, pc, phones or tablets. Alternative worlds summary theme major trends ancillary trends megatrends individual empowerment reduction of poverty expanding global middle class narrowing education and gender gaps innovations in communications technologies improving health. As with previous editions, we hope that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by identifying critical trends and potential discontinuities. Peter groen take the time to look over the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils nic series of reports aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future entitled global trends 2030. T he world of 2030 will be radically potential black swansdiscrete. Global marine technology trends 2030 by lloyds register. All such very likely developments, in part within the 2030 time horizon, will require a kind of global leviathan enforcing limitations on development and use of dangerous or disruptibe technologies worldwide with very radical implications for global governance. Technology and business in 2030 smarter with gartner. In this seminal report, csiro futures identified six social, economic and environmental megatrends that will have a major impact on australia over the next 20 years. Alternativeworldsa publication of the national intelligence. Some people, especially those in affected countries, will notice one or the other, or perhaps several of these trends, but only in global trends 2030 do we see them compiled and connected.
The goal of the report is to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over. Alternative worlds is a draft report being prepared by the us national intelligence council to be released after the presidential election, in december 2012. In india and china natural energy and water resources are scarce. Individual empowerment majority of world s population wont be impoverished. Pressure is rising as we see increasing competition for resources e. In all four of the alternative visions of the future, u.
Global marine technology trends 2030, released on monday, is the culmination of a collaborative project between lloyds register, qinetiq and the university of southampton. On monday december 10, 2012 the office of the director of national intelligence released the national intelligence councils nic latest global trends report, global trends 2030. A more vulnerable process of globalisation, shift to asia global trend 3. Dec, 2012 nonstate world driven by new technologies, nonstate actors take the lead in confronting global challenges. The socioeconomic progress of recent centuries has been accompanied by a steady evolution in systems of governance, i. Deloitte ports industry global trends in the ports industry 17 each driver represents a shift in demographics, society, technology, or the economy that impacts the future. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence. National intelligence council releases global trends 2030. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during the next 15. The global trends project engages expertise from outside government on factors of such as globalization, demography and the. Govt report predicts cyborgs, rise of china for 2030 slashdot. As with previous editions, we hope that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by.
Arguably, darker scenarios are imaginable, including a complete breakdown and reversal of globalization due to a potential large. A transformative industrial and technological revolution. According to global trends 2030, the precise trajectory of the future. Share of global middleclass consumption, 20002050 percent others eu us japan other asia india china 1990 to 2010 2010 to 2030 projected global trends 2030.
Govt report predicts cyborgs, rise of china for 2030. Global trends 2030 reports of all possible future worlds. Looks at global trends including aging demographics, technology advancements, global warming, resources constraints, population increases, the dimension centrality of the us, and other trends to project out what the world will be like in 2030. Get your kindle here, or download a free kindle reading app. Nonstate world driven by new technologies, nonstate actors take the lead in confronting global challenges. This year, principal author mathew burrows and his colleagues focus on a series of plausible. In his session at gartner symposiumitxpo in barcelona, steve prentice, vice president and gartner fellow, helped the audience reimagine the business landscape. Individual empowerment majority of worlds population wont be impoverished. Overview of the national intelligence council report on. Global trends, values, and ethics is a book that asks, what will our world be like in the next fifteen to twenty years. Alternative worlds, the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. As with previous editions, the national intelligence council hopes that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by identifying critical trends and potential.
Richer, older and more urban human race with an expanding global middle class and greater inequalities global trend 2. Instead of a set of cassandralike forecasts of doom or a pollyannaish burst of optimism, global trends 2030 offers a balanced presentation on how the world. What fate for liberal order in a postwestern world. Alternative worlds open pdf 0 b this report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during the next 1520 years. On monday december 10, 2012 the office of the director of national intelligence. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global. According to policymakers in the us, eu, russia, and nato, trends may bend in many potential directions, ranging from the rise of technologically empowered individuals. Alternative worlds report released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council. Alternative worlds leads with the stalled engines alternative world a scenario in which the united states and europe turn inward and globalization stalls as one of its bookends, illustrating the most plausible worstcase scenario. The office of the director of national intelligence will host a press briefing to discuss the release of global trends 2030. We are at a critical juncture in human history, which could lead to widely contrasting futures, writes the chairman of the national intelligence council nic christopher kojm in the councils latest forwardlooking quadrennial report, global trends 2030. After 107 pages of snazzy infographics on globalized workflows, widespread aging, and the advantages and disadvantages of a multipolar global economy, the experts depict four possible futures using scenario narratives. Jan 11, 20 whats especially interesting about global trends 2030 is that it culminates in a section called alternative worlds. Use features like bookmarks, note taking and highlighting while reading global trends 2030.
It presents six megatrends that will have a major impact on australia over the next 20 years. The european strategy and policy analysis system espas provides a framework for cooperation and consultation at administrative level, on a voluntary basis, between the european parliament, the european commission, the council of the european union, and the european external action service, with the committee of the regions and the european economic and social committee as observers, to work. Food wastage is a growing problem and developing a farmtomarket supply chain is evolving. The world of 2030 will be radically transformed from our world today. Bill burkewhite what will be the shape of the united nations security council unsc in 2030. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed. Jan 07, 20 nonstate world driven by new technologies, nonstate actors take the lead in confronting global challenges. The following report was released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council a condensed version of the report is also available 1. Global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about. Diversifying approaches to governance gmt 11 european. Alternative worlds kindle edition by burrows, mathew. Global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible. Social trends 182 gen y phenomenon 185 sheconomy 186 aging population 189 the middle bulge 191 working age demographic dividend 193 geosocialization 194 heterogeneous society 195 macrotomicro implications of evolving social trends 197.
1638 284 1064 1306 26 1505 1467 1036 1609 385 1554 1290 702 211 708 83 720 651 85 551 1607 780 153 255 108 1255 652 725 786 1181 354 883